Sunday long-read · Sunday, 1 November 2026
Ordinary Ledger: 14 cents for a new gas contract, 20 cents between the pumps
November starts the heating season. The household ledger has three lines to check this week: the gas tariff, the fuel board and the date your tank rebate runs out.
On the first Sunday of November the ledger turns from the pump to the boiler. Both matter this week, and both have numbers you can check yourself.
The boiler. Verivox puts the average price of a new gas contract at about 14 cents per kilowatt-hour, for a household using 20,000 kWh a year, as of 30 October1. Across all customers, old contracts and new, the average was about 12.7 cents on 1 October1. In January, Verivox’s table showed a family in a 180 m² house paying 9.87 cents and €1,974 a year1. Many suppliers are raising their prices, says its energy expert Thorsten Storck, and anyone who receives an increase should compare it with the offers available now1.
Desk arithmetic: 20,000 kWh at 14 cents is €2,800 a year; at 12.7 cents it is €2,540. The €260 between the two is the price of signing a new contract this month rather than sitting on an older one, which is a reason to read your price guarantee’s end date before you switch, not after.
The pump. ADAC’s latest weekly reading found Super E10 at €2.084 a litre, down 2.6 cents, and diesel at €2.289, up 3.4 cents; diesel now costs over 20 cents more2. The club blames dearer crude, a tight diesel market and rising heating-oil demand as the weather turns2. The tank rebate, a cut of about 17 cents a litre including VAT, runs from the start of October to the end of December2. The government wants a fuel-price cap by 1 January 2027 at the latest2.
The kitchen, for balance. Food prices rose just 0.4% on the year in October, Destatis said on Friday; household energy rose 12.2%3. This winter’s squeeze is in the meter cupboard, not the fridge.
What you can do with that. ADAC’s advice still holds: fill up shortly before noon, since prices may only rise once a day at 12:00, and compare stations in its app2. Verivox’s advice is the gas version of the same habit: compare when the letter arrives1. Neither is glamorous. Both are worth more than a forecast.
What to watch
- ADAC's next weekly fuel comparison, and whether the gap between diesel and E10 keeps widening2.
- Letters from your gas supplier announcing new prices; Verivox says many suppliers are raising them1.
- The talks on a fuel-price cap, which the federal government wants in place by 1 January 2027 at the latest2.
The cheapest kilowatt-hour is the one in a contract you have actually read.
Sources
- Gaspreise vergleichen — Verivox, as of 30 Oct 2026, retrieved 1 Nov 2026.
- Spritkosten: Benzin- und Dieselpreis entwickeln sich aktuell gegenläufig — ADAC, 28 Oct 2026, 13:45 CET.
- Inflationsrate im Oktober 2026 voraussichtlich +2,8 % (Pressemitteilung Nr. 382) — Statistisches Bundesamt (Destatis), 30 Oct 2026, 14:00 CET.
Every figure in this piece traces to a source above or to the desk’s own arithmetic on those sources, marked as such. Quotations are short and attributed. Spot an error? Write to the desk; corrections are logged on the method page.
Commentary for information only. Not investment, legal, tax, medical or political advice. Not an offer or solicitation. Analysis may be incomplete or wrong. Charts show published public data, not a trading feed; binding numbers live with the institutions that publish them.