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Morning edition · Monday, 2 November 2026

SECURITY · DESK NOTE

433 drones in a night, and the repair crews' ledger

Russia's winter campaign against Ukraine's grid is counted in substations. The answer is counted in interceptors and in people who climb poles.

Overnight into Sunday, Russia launched 433 drones at Ukraine, including jet-powered Shaheds; Ukraine’s air force said it downed 3711. Drones struck 16 locations and debris fell in 14 more1. Regional authorities reported one person killed, in Sloviansk, and at least 47 injured across the country, among them three children in Dnipropetrovsk region and a 16-year-old girl in Kharkiv region1. Desk arithmetic: 62 drones got through the air defences, about one in seven.

The target was again the grid. President Volodymyr Zelensky named substations, transformers and power lines in four regions, Dnipro, Vinnytsia, Zhytomyr and Khmelnytskyi, and said “hundreds of thousands of families remain without electricity”2. Three workers from the energy company DTEK were injured, and DTEK introduced emergency outages in Kyiv1. In Sumy region, the administration said air-raid sirens sounded for 23 hours 57 minutes of the day1.

Zelensky also gave the week’s ledger: 1,940 strike drones, more than 1,580 glide bombs and 44 missiles, 36 of them ballistic2. “The Russians are trying to take maximum advantage of the shortage of ballistic interceptors,” he said, asking allies to implement air-defence decisions “now”1,2. That is a supply-chain sentence as much as a military one: the war’s winter will be decided partly in factories and delivery schedules far from Ukraine.

What went right is quieter. Crews are “working to restore damaged equipment, when it is safe to do so”, DTEK said1; Zelensky said repair crews were “working everywhere”2. Each restored line is a small, unreported victory over a much louder weapon. For you, the useful number is not the drones launched but the hours without power, and who is paid to shorten them.

What to watch

  • Russian and Ukrainian officials are expected to meet in Abu Dhabi in mid-November amid US-mediated talks, RFE/RL reports2.
  • Repairs and outage schedules from grid operators such as DTEK, which introduced emergency cuts in Kyiv on Sunday1.
Desk comment

A drone costs a night. A transformer costs a season. Air defence is the arithmetic of who runs out first.

Sources

  1. Russian attacks kill 1, injure 47 over past day, leaving hundreds of thousands without electricity — The Kyiv Independent, 1 Nov 2026.
  2. Moscow Reports Drone Attack On Nizhny Novgorod As Russian Strikes Cut Power In Ukraine — RFE/RL, 1 Nov 2026, 12:20 CET (updated 22:18 CET).

Every figure in this piece traces to a source above or to the desk’s own arithmetic on those sources, marked as such. Quotations are short and attributed. Spot an error? Write to the desk; corrections are logged on the method page.

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