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Evening edition · Thursday, 12 November 2026 · 17:33 CET

Friday at €161.74: the wind turned up as promised, and the auction kept the discount

The forecast wind arrived almost to the gigawatt-hour and Friday's power got cheaper; the forecast held, and the auction priced it in. Also: the DAX touches 27,000 on order books, Britain's 0.7% quarter, the budget committee's late night, Munich Re's quieter quarter and a new drug for a rare cancer.

Morning 08:30 · Evening 17:30 · Sunday 10:00, Berlin time

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Friday at €161.74: the wind turned up as promised, and the auction kept the discount

Thursday's forecast said the wind would come. By mid-afternoon the grid's own meters agreed to within about 1%, and Friday's power cleared cheaper still.

This morning we told you the wind would arrive on Thursday, mostly after dark, and that the price had already been set on that expectation. By mid-afternoon the regulator's meters had their say. Between midnight and 15:00, onshore and offshore wind together produced about 199.5 GWh, against about 197.5 GWh forecast for the same hours. Desk arithmetic: that is about 1% more than promised. In fifteen hours, Thursday's wind had already produced more than the whole of Wednesday, when SMARD records about 147.1 GWh.

The mix was not quite as drawn. Onshore turbines delivered about 108.6 GWh, roughly 11% less than forecast, while offshore turbines delivered about 90.9 GWh, roughly 21% more. Desk arithmetic, both. The total held because the sea made up what the land missed. That is how a portfolio is meant to work, and it is a dull, reassuring thing to see in a grid.

Energy & Industry · 3 min · Read the piece →

Desk notes

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One thing you can do this week

When the first frost arrives, make one short list of the people you would check on if the heating failed or the pavement froze: an older neighbour, a relative who lives alone, a friend just out of hospital. Put a phone number next to each name and, on the first cold evening, call one of them. Five minutes, and the list is ready for the next cold night too.

A habit, not advice.

What went right

On Scotland's Moray coast, where 2 to 3 metres of land have collapsed into the sea in recent years, conservationists and 18 volunteers moved 3,400 one-flowered wintergreens, one of Britain's rarest wildflowers, to safety deeper in Culbin Forest 1. In the UK the tiny star-shaped flower grows only in pine woods in north-east Scotland, at just seven sites, and it has lost an estimated half of its UK population in 50 years 1. Because the plant depends on fungi in the soil, volunteers cut out whole sections of earth around each one to keep those networks intact 1. Plantlife Scotland, Forestry and Land Scotland and NatureScot ran the work, with money from the Scottish government's nature restoration fund 1. "Any survival will be a success," said Iain Macdonald of NatureScot 1. Nobody promised a miracle; they dug carefully, which is better.

The day in one sentence

A reinsurer counted its disasters and found them within budget, England paid for a new cancer drug on the day it was licensed, and volunteers in Scotland carried 3,400 small flowers away from the sea: a day of careful work done on time.

In euros at home

If you sign a new energy contract today, it costs more than it did in January. The energy industry association BDEW puts the average household electricity price for new contracts at 40.1 cents per kilowatt hour, 2.9 cents or 8% higher than at the start of the year, and the average gas price at 14.9 cents, up 3.8 cents or 34% 2. For customers on running tariffs, whose prices were usually set at the start of the year or fixed, there has so far been no effect, BDEW says 2. Desk arithmetic: for a household using 3,500 kWh of electricity a year, BDEW's reference, 2.9 cents more is about €102 a year; for a single-family house using 20,000 kWh of gas, 3.8 cents more is €760 a year.

Average prices for contracts available to sign, BDEW Quick-Check of 10 Nov 2026 (data as of 3 Nov). Your tariff, region and consumption will differ; if you are on a fixed price, check its end date before you compare. Nothing here is advice.

Small words

Combined ratio

The share of each premium euro an insurer spends on claims and running costs. Below 100% means the insurance business itself made money before investment income; Munich Re reported 80.0% for its property-casualty reinsurance in the third quarter, against 62.7% a year earlier 3. When a reinsurer says the figure rose but stayed below plan, it means it paid out more for disasters and still priced them correctly.

Sources for this section

  1. Rare wildflowers at risk of falling into sea rescued from eroding Scottish coast — The Guardian, 11 Nov 2026, 06:00 CET
  2. Quick-Check Gas- und Strompreise — BDEW, 10 Nov 2026
  3. Quarterly statement: Munich Re expands its business and raises its profit target to €6.6bn — Munich Re, 12 Nov 2026

Commentary for information only. Not investment, legal, tax, medical or political advice. "Desk arithmetic" is our own calculation from the cited figures.

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