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Morning edition · Thursday, 22 October 2026

ORDINARY · DESK NOTE

Ordinary Ledger: the new contract pays first

Gas for a household signing today costs 28% more than in January; electricity 6% more. People in running contracts have not felt it yet, says the industry's own count. The letter is the thing to watch.

The energy industry association BDEW’s latest price check carries data as of 20 October1. Its headline is short: rising prices for households “am aktuellen Rand”, at the current margin1.

The figures. A gas contract that a single-family household can sign today averaged 14.2 cents per kilowatt hour on 15 October, 3.1 cents or 28% more than at the start of the year1. Electricity for a household using 3,500 kWh a year averaged 39.3 cents, 2.1 cents or 6% more1. For customers in running tariffs, whose prices were usually set at the turn of the year or fixed, BDEW says there has been no effect “bislang”, so far1.

The ledger. Desk arithmetic, at BDEW’s reference volumes: 20,000 kWh of gas at the new-contract average costs about €2,840 a year, €620 more than at January’s price. 3,500 kWh of electricity costs about €1,376, €73.50 more. Grid fees add a little in January: Verivox estimates about €19 a year for that gas household and about €8 for a 4,000 kWh electricity household, with large regional differences, Berlin among the steepest3.

What protects you. A supplier must tell you of a price change at least a month before it applies, give the reason and the size, and point out your right to terminate early2. A price guarantee in the contract can rule an increase out, though often only for the parts the supplier controls2. If you are in the basic supply, the Grundversorgung, you can leave with two weeks’ notice at any time2. Desk arithmetic: a change for 1 January has to be announced by about 1 December.

The constructive reading. The gap between the new price and the running one is time, and time is useful. It is the window in which to find your contract, note the end date and read every letter from your supplier, including the ones that look like advertising, which the regulator warns can hide increases2. Nothing here is advice.

What to watch

  • Letters from suppliers in November: a change for 1 January must reach you at least a month ahead2.
  • BDEW's next quick-check, and whether the gap between new and running contracts narrows or widens1.
  • Final 2027 grid fees, still being published network by network3.
Desk comment

The price on the comparison site is news. The price on your contract is the bill. Read the second one first.

Sources

  1. Quick-Check Gas- und Strompreise: Aktuelle Preise und Vergleich zu 2021/2022 — BDEW Bundesverband der Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft, data as of 20 Oct 2026.
  2. Preise und Abschläge — Bundesnetzagentur, retrieved 22 Oct 2026.
  3. Gaskunden müssen mit höheren Netzentgelten rechnen — tagesschau.de (rbb24), 17 Oct 2026, 18:24.

Every figure in this piece traces to a source above or to the desk’s own arithmetic on those sources, marked as such. Quotations are short and attributed. Spot an error? Write to the desk; corrections are logged on the method page.

Commentary for information only. Not investment, legal, tax, medical or political advice. Not an offer or solicitation. Analysis may be incomplete or wrong. Charts show published public data, not a trading feed; binding numbers live with the institutions that publish them.