Proprietary indicators
for a complex world
This page presents a selection of proprietary macroeconomic and legal-regulatory indicators, conceptual models and long-term trend work. No individual advice, no investment recommendations – but structured orientation in an evolving system.
Focus: Short-, medium- and long-term developments at the intersection of economics, law and institutions – with a particular emphasis on Europe and transatlantic dynamics.
KMRI, TPVI and GDFI are synthetic indicators developed to capture macro-financial resilience, transmission channels and geo-economic fragmentation beyond single variables.
- KMRI – multi-dimensional resilience indicator.
- TPVI – term premium & volatility integration.
- GDFI – geo-financial fragmentation index.
Working at the economics–law interface
Markets never operate in a vacuum: they are embedded in legal orders, institutions and political decision-making. The indicators and models presented here aim to make that embedding more measurable – without claiming to remove uncertainty.
The focus is not on single prices or headlines, but on structural tensions: resilience, adaptability, path dependence, regulatory inertia and their interaction with economic cycles.
- Economics (macro & finance).
- Law (regulatory & institutional).
- Political economy & incentives.
- Complex systems & resilience.
- Strategic foresight & scenario work.
- Risk mapping and impact chains.
- Policy debates & institutional design.
- Academic & think tank discussions.
This page does not provide individual investment, legal or policy advice. The indicators are conceptual tools for discussion, not signals for specific trades or legal positions.
Koch Macro Resilience Index
Aggregated metric for macroeconomic and institutional shock absorption: fiscal space, institutional capacity to act, social tension levels.
Transatlantic Policy Volatility Indicator
Measure of frequency, direction and communication quality of economically and legally relevant policy signals across the Atlantic – including reversals and signal clarity.
Regulatory Shock Absorption Curve
Functional curve showing how fast and at what intensity regulatory systems internalise, dampen or transmit external shocks to other domains.
Formats: outlook, analysis, impact
The work spans several time horizons and publication formats. It aims to make patterns visible rather than provide day-to-day market calls.
Signals & notes
- Short notes on regulatory or policy impulses.
- Quick framing of new data points.
- Signalling structural breaks vs. noise.
Not for intraday trading, but as contextual signal.
Thematic reports & dossiers
- In-depth analysis of sectors, policy fields, regions.
- Linking data, legal texts & institutional dynamics.
- Scenarios over 12–36 months.
Basis for strategic discussions, not for single-stock picks.
Frameworks & narrative lines
- Conceptual models for path dependence.
- Long-run analysis of regulatory regimes.
- Narrative lines for decade-long horizons.
Designed for institutions, foundations and long-term oriented actors.
Note: This overview describes formats and working logic. It is explicitly not an offer to conclude advisory contracts with private individuals.
The chart shows a stylised, normalised time series for the selected theme. It is not a forecast, but a way of visualising structural stress, resilience or fragmentation levels over different horizons.
KMRI – EU telecom & infrastructure resilience
- Combines observable data with structural assumptions and scenario logic.
- Uses normalisation and smoothing to avoid overreaction to single data points.
- Incorporates legal and institutional constraints explicitly.
- Designed to support structured discussion, not mechanical decision rules.
- Not trading signals or investment recommendations.
- Not a substitute for due diligence or legal analysis.
- Not calibrated to any single institution’s balance sheet or mandate.
- Not designed for automated decision-making.
- Foresight work in institutions and think tanks.
- Scenario construction and narrative stress tests.
- Connecting legal reforms with macro-financial outcomes.
- Communicating complex dynamics to non-technical audiences.
Contact for publications & cooperation
For enquiries regarding publications, talks, discussion formats, background
conversations or cooperation in the field of economics & law, please simply
send an e-mail to:
email@benjaminkoch.info
You may optionally indicate a topic in the subject line, for example:
- Publication / quote / interview
- Talk / panel / online format
- Cooperation request (institution / think tank)
- Technical / methodological question on indicators
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